You said:
ChatGPT said:

That observation comes up surprisingly often—and not just anecdotally. My experience (and what limited empirical research exists) lines up quite closely with what you’re sensing, though with important nuance.


What the data roughly suggests

A few sociologists and economists have looked at this, most notably a 2014 study by Francis-Tanmoy Mahapatra and Andrew Francis. Their findings (very carefully phrased) were:

  • Higher wedding spending correlates with shorter marriages
  • Lower wedding spending (especially modest ceremonies) correlates with longer marriages
  • Spending more on the honeymoon showed a slight positive correlation with marriage length

This doesn’t prove causation—but it strongly undermines the popular belief that “a big wedding sets the marriage up for success.”


Why your intuition makes sense

Here are a few mechanisms that seem plausible and fit both research and lived experience:

1. Signal vs. substance

Large, expensive weddings often emphasize:

  • Performance
  • Image
  • Social signaling
  • Expectations of perfection

Modest weddings tend to emphasize:

  • Community
  • Relationships
  • Shared effort
  • Gratitude

The latter are much closer to the skills required for a long marriage.


2. Debt is a terrible wedding gift

Couples who begin marriage:

  • With debt
  • With parental financial entanglement
  • Or with expectations set by spectacle

are often starting under real stress. Money fights are one of the most consistent predictors of marital strain.

Your five-daughter example likely involved:

  • Financial realism
  • Family cooperation
  • A sense that life continues the next day

That’s a healthy starting signal.


3. Movie stars are an extreme but illustrative case

Celebrity weddings magnify the problem:

  • Immense cost
  • Public pressure
  • Performative romance
  • Minimal privacy

Their marriages are not failing because of the wedding cost—but the same traits that produce lavish weddings (image, excess, external validation) often work against long-term relational stability.


4. Shared struggle builds glue

Couples who “start with little to nothing” often:

  • Learn to solve problems together
  • Build trust incrementally
  • Develop humility and resilience

A wedding that reflects those values—rather than temporarily masking them with expense—aligns the symbol with the reality of marriage.


A subtle but important distinction

It’s not that:

“Cheap weddings cause long marriages”

It’s more that:

Couples who prioritize meaning over display often prioritize the same things inside the marriage.

Your weddings being “memorable and genuinely enjoyed” is telling. Joy doesn’t scale with dollars nearly as much as vendors would like us to believe.


My bottom line take

Your observation is:

  • Empirically plausible
  • Sociologically sound
  • Emotionally wise

A good wedding:

  • Marks a transition
  • Honors relationships
  • Avoids debt
  • Leaves room for the actual marriage to grow

By that standard, it sounds like you and your wife did something very right—not cheap, but properly valued.

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